Tuesday, March 26, 2013

New SOCOM operators by by VEPA minis

Vepa's first release in freaking ages are two lovely super detailed sets of special forces guys in 20mm

IPB Image

IPB Image

Get em at Jordi's website here

Sunday, March 17, 2013

Arms and armor of the Syrian conflict: Tanks

http://www.foreignpolicy.com/files/images/syria_31.jpg


As a war nerd of contemporary conflict I have watched the Syrian conflict with great attention to see what types of arms and armor has popped in the civil conflict there. Prior to the breakout of the war, the Syrian military was a somewhat-mysterious entity, surrounded by plenty of anecdotes, but often very little observable evidence. Over the past few months we have seen a massive outpouring of online video, giving us a real clear insight into the types of weapons the SAAF and the rebels have had access to. Lets consider them now.

I) Tanks

As a former Soviet clientstate, the Syrian armored forces were always going to be the T-series tanks.After the fall of the USSR, however, supplies dried up, leaving Damascus with a considerably anachronistic arsenal. The regime primarilly uses three main types.

http://www.theepochtimes.com/n2/images/stories/large/2012/08/01/149612401_Syrian_tank.jpghttp://static.guim.co.uk/sys-images/Guardian/Pix/pictures/2012/11/2/1351881919265/Syria-tank-010.jpghttp://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/files/2012/08/syria-aleppo-tank-_2292715b-460x288.jpg

T-55/T-55M/MV

SAAF have made widespread use of the T-55 during the fighting. The venerable tank comes in numerous variations in the Syrian arsenal: including the M(pictured above) and MV series. These upgraded versions seem to be far rarer in the footage, however . According to the IISS 2010 estimate there are over 2,000 T-55s in the Syrian arsenal, although many are in storage or static positions. The tanks arms and armor are extremely dated and do not provide great protection against the amount of AT weapons floating around at the moment, but at the end of the day, its got metal and a big gun. The T-55 remains the domain of lower-tier units.

http://www.armyrecognition.com/images/stories/news/2012/may/Syrian_army_T-62_main_battle_tank_destroyed_by_the_rebels_in_Rastan_Homs_province_Syria_001.jpghttp://milinme.files.wordpress.com/2012/11/8166652092_941f07413d_o.jpghttp://images1.wikia.nocookie.net/__cb20130303071527/althistory/images/thumb/3/3f/Syrian_tank_in_Aleppo_destroyed_by_NATO_aircraft_(SIADD).jpg/640px-Syrian_tank_in_Aleppo_destroyed_by_NATO_aircraft_(SIADD).jpg
 
T-62/T-62M

Another feature of the rebelion, the T-62 is effectively the bigger, meaner brother of the T-55. All shots I have seen of this beast have been of the older variants, although some reports point to the M version being in the TOE of the SAAF. 


http://www.cbc.ca/gfx/images/news/topstories/2012/12/12/hi-syrian-tank-852-8col.jpghttp://mideastposts.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/07/TankSyria-634x334.jpghttp://www.mirror.co.uk/incoming/article744281.ece/ALTERNATES/s615/An+image+grab+taken+from+a+video+uploaded+on+YouTube+on+February+26,+2012+shows+a+Syrian+army+tank+rolling+in+the+Herak+district+of+the+southern+Daraa+province
T-72/M1/M1V

The T-72 remains the pinnacle of the Syrian tank forces. The fleet ranges from the old, to the extremely old, with the export version of the 'AV', aka the M1V, model being the regime's most modern. The reactive armor on the latter models has apparently functioned quite well in the conflict according to anecdotal accounts and the 125mm gun is something you really don't want to mess with. The elite republican guard units utilize the M1V in large numbers and we seem to be seeing large concentrations of them around Damascus. According to a pre-war Janes report, a number of SAAF T-72s were being overhauled and modernized to the M1M standard with new TURMs fire control systems from Italy; increased protection in the form of K5 armor plates; as well as a new ARENA APS system for shooting down incoming RPGs. So far, however, we have yet to see these beasts and they could simply be mythological.


next time we will take a look at airpower and IFVs

Saturday, March 2, 2013

Wargaming the Syrian conflict


Since I’ve been away from the painting station I’ve been pretty exhaustively stuck on working on Syria and the Middle East/North African crisis zone. I miss my little blog, so I thought what better to do than to post a discussion on war gaming the current Syrian civil conflict (or war, or rebellion, or uprising, or terrorist influx pan Western/Iranian/Zionist conspiracy….depending on your political leanings :P).

As we are all aware the conflict emerged after a peaceful series of protests based around ethno-economic grounds aimed at the ruling Assad regime. The government responded with the widespread use of extreme force to crack down upon the dissidents, fearing a repeat of what was occurring in Egypt, Tunisia and many other parts of the Arab world. The end result was to ultimately galvanise the sentiment in opposition forces (although not actually unifying these same forces in any physical sense) that violence was necessary to affect political change. As we enter March of 2013 the conflict has now ranged for nearly two years and while official UN estimates are of around 60 – 80 thousand deaths, behind closed doors the figure is suggested to be considerably higher.

The Current Situation

http://v023o.popscreen.com/eHNiYW1jMTI=_o_syria-t-72-tanks-in-damascus.jpg

As of March the situation is complicated, to say the very least. Although the rebel groups have managed to wrest control of considerable amounts of territory in the north along the Turkish border and in the eastern desert regions, like Deir El Zor. Loyalists continue to maintain control of much of the centre and coastal regions in the west. Damascus is under siege, with much of the south-eastern suburbs estimated to be occupied by rebel elements, but the centre and west remain firmly in government control. It’s also important to note that although rebel groups have captured territory in the north, many of the military hard points remain occupied by loyalists and resupplied by air. As the air force continues to experience attrition the regime’s capability to maintain these embattled firebases will wither away, however.

http://www.militaryphotos.net/forums/attachment.php?attachmentid=181630&d=1339350740

Geopolitically, there is also the issue of the proxy conflict being waged between the Iranians and the Saudi/GCC coalition who both seem to feel that Syria has become a test of their will vis a vis one another. While Iranian forces, along with Lebanese Hezbollah, are making all efforts to support the Ba’athist regime with material and training, the Saudis, Qataris and Jordanians are providing substantial material support to the opposition forces in the form of arms, armour and other necessary equipment. Of course, the US last week announced its intention to step up support for the FSA, a factor which is likely to have a major impact on the nature of the conflict, but also might cause similar actions from across the geopolitical table by actors like Russia and China. 

Active Forces

The Assad regime still appears to have maintained its hold over a considerable amount of the armed forces, despite the initial reports of mass-defections. For the purposes of wargaming these can be roughly broken into 4 categories of quality/morale: Conscripts (D6/D6), regulars (D6/D8-D10), Republican Guard (D6-D8/D8-D10) and Special Forces (D8/D10). Despite some media reporting that the former two have essentially ceased to exist, field reports from operators on the ground are suggesting that they remain active, particularly on the periphery. SAAF T-55s have become a common feature in the UN AoS between Israel and Syria and these vehicles are very much the purview of reserve and low quality units.

http://freebeacon.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/02/Free-Syrian-Army-AP.jpg

Contrasting the centralization of regime forces, the rebels remain disparate and ad hoc in nature. Currently there are at least three categories of fighters engaged in combat – secular nationalists, moderate Islamists and radical Islamists. The secular nationalists represent the majority of the original political malcontents and are effectively fighting to instate a government more representative of the Sunni-majority demographics in Syria. Moderate Islamists are those who have engaged in combat based along Islamic principles of brotherhood, solidarity and the ummah but who do not have a political agenda of imposing ultraconservative Sharia if they achieve victory. The radicals subscribe to the same general ideals as the moderates, but want to utilize the instability of the chaos to affect change in the form of political Islam based along Salafist principles. These three categories are not cohesive blocs, however. One estimate I have seen with rather convincing supporting evidence puts the number of major factional groups on the rebel's side at over 40. Another suggested hundreds. Attempts to consolidate all of these organizations under a single operational command and control with the SNC have failed up until now.

http://publicintelligence.net/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/syrian-rebels-9.jpg

As the combat has drawn on we have seen considerable attrition rates on both sides. The secular FSA has struggled to replenish its losses in manpower and material, the radical groups, most famously Jabhat Al-Nusrah, have much stronger networks that illicit better equipment and support. The relative advantage this has given the radical Islamist groups has had the secondary effect of causing wide-spread defections from the FSA into the ranks of the Islamists, who they feel can give them a better shot at challenging the regime, even if it requires the adoption of some undesirable principles. The implications of this legitimation of radical Islamists due to their deeper pockets is worrying to many Syria watchers and may have colored the US’s decision last week to up support for the FSA. The FSA remains a highly pluralistic entity with a complete lack of standardization of training, tactics and equipment. As such the quality levels should range from D6 to D8 and the morale from D6 to D10. Jabhat Al Nusra has shown themselves to possess a considerable level of tactical and strategic efficacy and dedication. They should generally be considered D8/D10. It should be noted that JN have claimed responsibility 80% + of the suicide attacks that have occurred in Syria up until this point and this should be reflected in any scenario writing.

http://imageshack.us/a/img201/2038/t72turmstsyriafsajan201.jpg

Next time: equipment and the future?